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Search: Posts Made By: dgtatum
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-17-2020, 07:32 AM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
:lol: People who are skeptical of these...

:lol:

People who are skeptical of these models don't trust data though right?

Forecast <> Data
Forum: Health and Fitness Forum 05-16-2020, 02:47 PM
Replies: 401
Views: 20,953
Posted By dgtatum
Also one year down for this guy as of Wednesday.

Also one year down for this guy as of Wednesday.
Forum: Health and Fitness Forum 05-16-2020, 02:45 PM
Replies: 401
Views: 20,953
Posted By dgtatum
:guitarwo:

:guitarwo:
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-16-2020, 08:22 AM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
If you believe the bold then reopening slowly...

If you believe the bold then reopening slowly should start immediately. Let people who assess their own risk and take local measures when the healthcare system is overwhelmed. You are not making a...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-16-2020, 08:08 AM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
The cheapest option when I went I am sure. Delta...

The cheapest option when I went I am sure. Delta out of Louisville to Atlanta then to Laguardia.
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-15-2020, 02:13 PM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
You're right.My fault, should have consulted a...

You're right.My fault, should have consulted a map. I was thinking when I flew into Laguardia we were North of the city.
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-15-2020, 02:08 PM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
While I'm sure you know more about the US from...

While I'm sure you know more about the US from your outpost in London England than we do, you are not informed here. The states that are reopening are doing so with data and plenty of healthcare...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-15-2020, 09:53 AM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
I am not hopeful on the vaccine front based on...

I am not hopeful on the vaccine front based on what I have read in the news. I gave a 50/50 chance of ever having one that works.
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-15-2020, 09:51 AM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
We literally only administer the account. The...

We literally only administer the account. The employer has an checking account that we pay claims out of. The provider gets their share and then they send the rest to the member. Your employer would...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-15-2020, 09:46 AM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
Yep, we can give all of our risk members free...

Yep, we can give all of our risk members free treatment for Coronavirus, but we can't tell your employer to give you free treatment if it is just an self insured plan that we administer.
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-15-2020, 09:42 AM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
If you have traveled to NYC and other...

If you have traveled to NYC and other metropolitan areas in the US you know that from the tip of Manhattan Island all the way north to Queens and over across the East River to Brokklyn that NYC is...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-14-2020, 07:25 AM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
Also another random test showing between a .5%...

Also another random test showing between a .5% and .7% death rate (.6% in Indiana). Using the .6% number that implies about 14 million US infections and 4.6 million in the state of New York.
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-14-2020, 07:09 AM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
Great article about all that my state has done...

Great article about all that my state has done datawise to ensure it's citizens safety and why I feel confident in their decisions.
...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-14-2020, 05:51 AM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
My thoughts are that summer will provide a lull...

My thoughts are that summer will provide a lull in this viral outbreak and the country should use it to gather supplies and prepare for a potentially long winter. Individually, go see your family and...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-13-2020, 11:28 AM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
Really interesting consumer data survey from...

Really interesting consumer data survey from McKinsey.

From slide 24 it is interesting that people in very restricted areas like NY and CA are actually doing things like get together with friends,...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-12-2020, 10:54 AM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
This article explains the difficulty in modeling...

This article explains the difficulty in modeling coronavirus deaths and cases into the future. In Italics what we should all be asking when you see a forecast. How many variables are included? How...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-12-2020, 10:36 AM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
I linked data in my post about my state and my...

I linked data in my post about my state and my governor's decision. They have discussed their decision with the applicable healthcare facilities and there is plenty of capacity in our state. What...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-12-2020, 08:00 AM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
What data supports this statement? ...

What data supports this statement?


https://dph.georgia.gov/covid-19-daily-status-report
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-12-2020, 07:57 AM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
I presented data for my area in Indiana. People...

I presented data for my area in Indiana. People are saying we shouldn't reopen with no data whatsoever. I presented data showing our medical capacity and the numbers of infected and dead. I am not...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-11-2020, 01:27 PM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
I am skeptical. That's part of being realistic. I...

I am skeptical. That's part of being realistic. I think there is a lot of unrealistic things being stated everywhere. Whenever the discussion of opening comes up everyone acts like it is going to be...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-11-2020, 08:42 AM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
I changed my thinking before being told to. It's...

I changed my thinking before being told to. It's a good trait to be able to change tactics as information changes. You may pull out my thoughtful post where I told everyone that too. Right now I...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-09-2020, 10:10 AM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
He's not an expert...

He's not an expert...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-09-2020, 10:09 AM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
In my MW state which is slowly opening we have...

In my MW state which is slowly opening we have 40% of our ICU beds open with only 17% being taken up currently by Covid-19 patients. We also have 81% of our ventilators available with only 7.2% taken...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-09-2020, 09:59 AM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
Oh wait you mean we are not all mindless drones...

Oh wait you mean we are not all mindless drones incapable of keeping ourselves safe? I thought we were all dependant on our government overlords to tell us what we should and should not be doing.
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 05-08-2020, 02:56 PM
Replies: 9,720
Views: 757,936
Posted By dgtatum
Air travel in April was down 95%. How many less...

Air travel in April was down 95%. How many less people did you want to travel? My assumption at those levels is that if you set up some side business transporting essential employees that...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 300

 

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