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Search: Posts Made By: NoName
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 07-27-2020, 03:56 PM
Replies: 11,055
Views: 851,124
Posted By NoName
NY NJ CT were the worst hit as of when I created...

NY NJ CT were the worst hit as of when I created the groupings (most deaths per capita). Obviously when you reduce 51 jurisdictions to 4 groups something has to give. I used the groupings that I...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 07-27-2020, 02:25 PM
Replies: 11,055
Views: 851,124
Posted By NoName
I disagree on the first point; it had high deaths...

I disagree on the first point; it had high deaths by the time I created the groupings. New Orleans had a bad outbreak in April. As Knoath points out the rest of the state has been getting hit over...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 07-26-2020, 10:36 PM
Replies: 11,055
Views: 851,124
Posted By NoName
And a version with cumulative totals. Deaths in...

And a version with cumulative totals. Deaths in the orange and blue states are still well below those in the green and dark gray states, but cases are coming a lot closer.
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 07-26-2020, 10:33 PM
Replies: 11,055
Views: 851,124
Posted By NoName
A couple of charts (updated versions of ones I...

A couple of charts (updated versions of ones I posted last month to no great interest, but why not).
Green=NY/NJ/CT, pop=32M
Dark Grey=other states with high death rates...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 07-23-2020, 08:33 PM
Replies: 11,055
Views: 851,124
Posted By NoName
By hospitalizations (here: inpatients, positive...

By hospitalizations (here: inpatients, positive or suspected COVID), Arizona seems to have crested, but the state is recording deaths with long lags and even if this trend holds, not a certainty, it...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 07-23-2020, 08:24 PM
Replies: 11,055
Views: 851,124
Posted By NoName
https://nypost.com/2020/07/23/gov-cuomo-defends-fo...

https://nypost.com/2020/07/23/gov-cuomo-defends-food-with-drink-mandate/
https://twitter.com/StephenMarth/status/1286398503896461314

Cuomo explains the new rules requiring bars to serve food to...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 07-23-2020, 06:00 PM
Replies: 296
Views: 39,261
Posted By NoName
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2020/07/20/the-...

https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2020/07/20/the-invention-of-the-police
https://unherd.com/thepost/an-untrue-claim-in-the-new-yorker-speaks-volumes/...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 07-21-2020, 07:59 PM
Replies: 11,055
Views: 851,124
Posted By NoName
From what I understand that is not the prevailing...

From what I understand that is not the prevailing definition (though according to Wikipedia (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_reproduction_number) it appears to be the definition of the Australian...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 07-21-2020, 06:56 PM
Replies: 11,055
Views: 851,124
Posted By NoName
The wording of this is strange. ...

The wording of this is strange.



implies that the penalty only applies if an order is issued to "an individual" and that such an order would be issued to the individual "pursuant to" the travel...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 07-20-2020, 11:41 AM
Replies: 11,055
Views: 851,124
Posted By NoName
I guess the question is what does it mean to "go...

I guess the question is what does it mean to "go with the peer reviewed result". If it means that you will assume it is correct that e.g. 43 of the household contacts of people age 10-19 identified...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 07-20-2020, 09:24 AM
Replies: 11,055
Views: 851,124
Posted By NoName
Keep in mind what is being measured here. ...

Keep in mind what is being measured here.

There were 124 ostensible "index patients" in the 10-19 range.

They had 457 traced contacts - 231 "household" and 226 "non-household".

Of the 231...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 07-20-2020, 05:36 AM
Replies: 11,055
Views: 851,124
Posted By NoName
The summary is not much shorter unfortunately. ...

The summary is not much shorter unfortunately.
1. The numbers are based on secondary infections supposedly transmitted from people in various age groups to "household contacts," as a percentage of...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 07-19-2020, 05:00 PM
Replies: 11,055
Views: 851,124
Posted By NoName
Please see this thread: ...

Please see this thread:

https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1284949751884951553

where a biologist who initially drew the same inference from the study then read this thread:
...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 06-28-2020, 10:15 PM
Replies: 11,055
Views: 851,124
Posted By NoName
Second chart, still per million but now...

Second chart, still per million but now cumulative.

Nothing here is really a surprise given the last chart, except that it may be a little surprising how little the latest case surge has gone...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 06-28-2020, 10:10 PM
Replies: 11,055
Views: 851,124
Posted By NoName
Some charts. Green=NY/NJ/CT, pop=32M Dark...

Some charts.
Green=NY/NJ/CT, pop=32M
Dark Grey=other states with high death rates (DC/DE/IL/LA/MA/MD/MI/PA/RI), pop=56M
Orange=states with large case increases in June (FL/CA/AZ/TX/GA), pop=108M...
Forum: Software & Technology 06-25-2020, 11:16 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 686
Posted By NoName
For people old enough to have used APL

https://hopl4.sigplan.org/

In 1978, 1993, and 2007, conferences have been held on the History of Programming Languages. HOPL IV was to have been held this year, but has been postponed. However,...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 03-31-2020, 05:01 PM
Replies: 296
Views: 39,261
Posted By NoName
On or around March 13, the Society of Critical...

On or around March 13, the Society of Critical Care Medicine posted a memo noting that "A recent AHA estimate for COVID-19 projected that 4.8 million patients would be hospitalized, 1.9 million of...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 01-29-2020, 12:27 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 578
Posted By NoName
Interesting math proof

Here is a "one-sentence" proof that every prime congruent to 1 mod 4 can be expressed as the sum of two squares.
https://people.mpim-bonn.mpg.de/zagier/files/doi/10.2307/2323918/fulltext.pdf

I...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 08-07-2019, 12:13 PM
Replies: 296
Views: 39,261
Posted By NoName
https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/food/blac...

https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/food/black-families-once-lived-off-their-southern-farmland-their-descendants-are-struggling-to-hold-onto-it/2019/07/22/37b3132a-a975-11e9-86dd-d7f0e60391e9_sto...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 11-12-2018, 02:25 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 2,790
Posted By NoName
When Don Adams...

When Don Adams (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Don_Adams) died, there were also three threads created more or less simultaneously. The second and third threads both had someone respond "missed it by...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 10-18-2017, 05:35 PM
Replies: 186
Views: 14,057
Posted By NoName
http://www.businessinsider.com/amazon-hq2-top-citi...

http://www.businessinsider.com/amazon-hq2-top-cities-according-to-moodys-data-2017-10/#2-atlanta-9...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 10-01-2017, 08:06 PM
Replies: 186
Views: 14,057
Posted By NoName
http://tdn.com/news/local/amazon-hq-in-cowlitz-cou...

http://tdn.com/news/local/amazon-hq-in-cowlitz-county-not-likely/article_8aeb756f-a8c6-5a55-9313-45e4ead1fd62.html

Headline amused me.
Forum: Health - Disability 09-28-2017, 10:06 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 1,456
Posted By NoName
Massachusetts seeks to move adults off Medicaid, limit drug coverage

http://www.modernhealthcare.com/article/20170927/NEWS/170929900
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 09-27-2017, 02:45 PM
Replies: 186
Views: 14,057
Posted By NoName
Maybe at 5:00 Sunday morning.

Maybe at 5:00 Sunday morning.
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 09-25-2017, 05:38 PM
Replies: 186
Views: 14,057
Posted By NoName
I like the small cities announcing that they will...

I like the small cities announcing that they will bid.

http://www.13abc.com/content/news/Toledo-working-back-channels-to-land-Amazon-HQ2-447755013.html

(Article also says the city had already...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 300

 

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