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  #381  
Old 10-29-2019, 12:15 PM
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Just do it!
Let T be a statistic used to estimate a parameter theta. In this case, E[theta] = theta + Arb, where Arb is an arbitrary estimate of bias which is clearly greater than zero. swoosh!
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  #382  
Old 10-29-2019, 12:34 PM
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Congratulations to twig93 for winning the Week 8 award
But I switched my Chiefs pick first!!
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  #383  
Old 10-29-2019, 02:23 PM
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Let T be a statistic used to estimate a parameter theta. In this case, E[theta] = theta + Arb, where Arb is an arbitrary estimate of bias which is clearly greater than zero. swoosh!


But that doesn't mean that I'm wrong
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  #384  
Old 10-29-2019, 02:29 PM
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Week 9 - Change Giants to Cowboys

Likely going to flip Bears to Eagles, but not yet.
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  #385  
Old 10-29-2019, 02:30 PM
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But I switched my Chiefs pick first!!
and for that you received a more heartfelt and genuine POTB award!
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  #386  
Old 10-29-2019, 02:33 PM
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Week 9 - Change Giants to Cowboys

Likely going to flip Bears to Eagles, but not yet.
d &
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  #387  
Old 10-29-2019, 02:48 PM
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I would like to use a COFP to switch the Cardinals to 49ers for Thursday night, please.
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  #388  
Old 10-29-2019, 02:59 PM
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I would like to use a COFP to switch the Cardinals to 49ers for Thursday night, please.
noted
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  #389  
Old 10-31-2019, 02:59 PM
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I'm going to start up PAM (the Predictive Analytics Machine) a bit early this year:
I believe that my use of PAM for the AO Pick'em Contest qualifies me for Mr. Boot's Predictive Analytics Survey...especially for games with lots of field goals.

Quote:
Five-Minute Survey: Measuring Your Impressions on Predictive Analytics


Dear SOA Member, We want to hear from you about your experience with predictive analytics, as well as your opinion on actuaries' ability to excel in predictive analytics roles.


Your responses will be kept strictly confidential. To include your voice, please click here.


Please complete the survey by Wednesday, November 6. Thank you for the few minutes that you devote to this survey.


Best regards,
Mike Boot, FSA, MAAA Managing Director, Society of Actuaries P +1-847-706-3536 mboot@soa.org
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  #390  
Old 10-31-2019, 03:00 PM
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After much obsessing, Iím going to keep the default prize for the week. The Arbitrary award is interesting, but so high risk. I certainly have a better idea of the divisions than I used to!
noted.
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