Actuarial Outpost
 
Go Back   Actuarial Outpost > Cyberchat > Diversions > Bridge
FlashChat Actuarial Discussion Preliminary Exams CAS/SOA Exams Cyberchat Around the World Suggestions


Upload your resume securely at https://www.dwsimpson.com
to be contacted when new jobs meet your skills and objectives.


Bridge Sub-Forums: Frequency and Severity

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #261  
Old 06-10-2018, 12:32 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
Site Supporter
Site Supporter
 
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 3,707
Default

Quote:
==============================================
* * * * * THE BRIDGE WORLD * * * * *

MASTER SOLVERS CLUB SOLUTIONS RECEIVED


Your solutions have been received. This copy is for your records.

SOLVER: Steve White
Broomall PA
U.S.A.

Your Solutions for the July 2018 Contest
-------------------
PROBLEM A: 3 Diamonds
PROBLEM B: Double
PROBLEM C: Double
PROBLEM D: 2 Clubs
PROBLEM E: 3 Notrump
PROBLEM F: 3 Notrump
PROBLEM G: 3 Clubs
PROBLEM H: Spade Jack


Thank you for participating in the Master Solvers Club.


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
We may have been very lucky to get those in. I was thinking the deadline was 11AM eastern time. I temporarily forgot about time zone differences, and Im in Pacific time today. At almost 9 PT, I realized I was late, and rushed to enter, without spending any more time on the several really close ones. I was really glad to succeed in entering. I noticed afterwards that it may have been even closer than I thought, since the confirmation e-mail is time stamped 9:03 PT, and per the Bridge World page, the deadline was 9AM ET, not 11 AM ET.
Reply With Quote
  #262  
Old 06-10-2018, 05:29 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
Site Supporter
Site Supporter
 
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 3,707
Default

Code:
               A          B        C        D        E        F        G        H        Total
EB             2N     100 Dbl  100 2D   100 3D   20  3S   100 P    60  3N   40  C10  70  590  
oirg           3N     60  2C   50  Dbl  70  2C   100 3N   30  3N   100 3C   70  HQ   50  530  
SW             3D     50  Dbl *0   Dbl  70  2H   90  3S   100 4S   80  2N   80  H10  60  530  
Klaymen        3N     60  2C   50  Dbl  70  2S   70  3H   50  P    60  3C   70  SJ   100 530  
ST             3D     50  Dbl  100 Dbl  70  2S   70  3H   50  3N   100 3C   70  SJ   100 610  
BTDT           3D     50  1S   0   Dbl  70  2H   90  3S   100 4S   80  2N   80  H10  60  530  
NN             3N     60  Dbl  100 2D   100 2S   70  3H   50  4S   80  2N   80  SJ   100 640  
Veni Vidi Vici 3D     50  2C   50  Dbl  70  2C   100 3N   30  3N** 100 3C** 70  SJ   100 570  
kmbrunskill    3N     60  Dbl  100 2D   100 2C   100 3N   30  4S   80  2N   80  H10  60  610  
mathmajor      3D     50  3C   70  2D   100 2C   100 3N   30  3N   100 P    0   SJ   100 550  
4 Sigma        3D     50  Dbl  100 2D   100 2H   90  3H   50  P    60  3C   70  H10  60  580  
bill18         3D     50  Dbl  100 2D   100 2S   70  3N   30  P    60  3C   70  SJ   100 580  
Submitted      3D     50  Dbl  100 Dbl  70  2C   100 3N   30  3N   100 3C   70  SJ   100 620  


                                                                                 
               2N     100 Dbl  100 2D   100 2C   100 3S   100 3N   100 Dbl  100 SJ   100   
               2H     80  3C   70  Dbl  70  2H   90  3D   60  4S   80  2N   80  C10  70       
               3C     70  2C   50           2S   70  3H   50  P    60  3C   70  H10  60       
               3N     60  1S   0            3D   20  3N   30           3N   40  HQ   50       
               3D     50                                               P    0
Not a very good month. I dont think we would have made to honor roll (680 minimum) even if I had had a little more time to think about breaking ties on the very close ones. Congratulations to Numbers Nerd for our highest score of 640.

Ill try to get the August problems posted tomorrow. Sneak preview: on hand A, we have a 0=7=5=1 shape with very good suits, but the opponents have already found spades before we get a chance to bid. We also have a hand with 8 spades to AKQJ, one with 7 diamonds to AKQ10, and one with 6 diamonds to AKQ.
Reply With Quote
  #263  
Old 06-10-2018, 06:59 PM
Veni Vidi Vici Veni Vidi Vici is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 211
Default

Umm, I also had a 640. Somehow in your table you changed my vote on (E) to 3NT, but it was always 3S and never changed. (I changed my vote on (F) to 3NT.)

I was pretty unhappy with the scoring on (A) and (B). On (B) a majority of the BW expert panel chose to raise clubs immediately, but since there is more than one way to raise clubs and only one way to show four spades, the plurality double got 100 and the majority club raises scored poorly. On (A), 6 panelists voted to 3D, which only scored a 50, which is pretty low for six panelists, especially when that was the second highest vote and 50 was the fifth highest score...and I don't see how the bids grouped naturally like they did on (B), though perhaps we will find out when the July issue arrives.
Reply With Quote
  #264  
Old 06-11-2018, 10:31 AM
mathmajor's Avatar
mathmajor mathmajor is offline
Member
SOA AAA
 
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: Nowhere in particular
Studying for Japanese
College: B.S. Applied Math
Favorite beer: La Croix Grapefruit
Posts: 12,100
Default

Now we just need MP stratifications within the contest. I'll happily represent the 199ers
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by redprinceton
YOU ARE AN EXCEPTIONAL PERSON MATHMAJOR!
Reply With Quote
  #265  
Old 06-11-2018, 12:13 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
Site Supporter
Site Supporter
 
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 3,707
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Veni Vidi Vici View Post
Umm, I also had a 640. Somehow in your table you changed my vote on (E) to 3NT, but it was always 3S and never changed. (I changed my vote on (F) to 3NT.)
Sorry about that.
Code:
																	
	A		B		C		D		E		F		G		H		Total
EB	2N	100	Dbl	100	2D	100	3D	20	3S	100	P	60	3N	40	C10	70	590
oirg	3N	60	2C	50	Dbl	70	2C	100	3N	30	3N	100	3C	70	HQ	50	530
SW	3D	50	Dbl *	0	Dbl	70	2H	90	3S	100	4S	80	2N	80	H10	60	530
Klaymen	3N	60	2C	50	Dbl	70	2S	70	3H	50	P	60	3C	70	SJ	100	530
ST	3D	50	Dbl	100	Dbl	70	2S	70	3H	50	3N	100	3C	70	SJ	100	610
BTDT	3D	50	1S	0	Dbl	70	2H	90	3S	100	4S	80	2N	80	H10	60	530
NN	3N	60	Dbl	100	2D	100	2S	70	3H	50	4S	80	2N	80	SJ	100	640
Veni Vidi Vici	3D	50	2C	50	Dbl	70	2C	100	3S	100	3N**	100	3C**	70	SJ	100	640
kmbrunskill	3N	60	Dbl	100	2D	100	2C	100	3N	30	4S	80	2N	80	H10	60	610
mathmajor	3D	50	3C	70	2D	100	2C	100	3N	30	3N	100	P	0	SJ	100	550
4 Sigma	3D	50	Dbl	100	2D	100	2H	90	3H	50	P	60	3C	70	H10	60	580
bill18	3D	50	Dbl	100	2D	100	2S	70	3N	30	P	60	3C	70	SJ	100	580
Submitted	3D	50	Dbl	100	Dbl	70	2C	100	3N	30	3N	100	3C	70	SJ	100	620
																	
		740		920		1090		1070		750		1060		850		1060	
																	
	2N	100	Dbl	100	2D	100	2C	100	3S	100	3N	100	Dbl	100	SJ	100	800
	2H	80	3C	70	Dbl	70	2H	90	3D	60	4S	80	2N	80	C10	70	
	3C	70	2C	50			2S	70	3H	50	P	60	3C	70	H10	60	
	3N	60	1S	0			3D	20	3N	30			3N	40	HQ	50	
	3D	50											P	0
Congratulations to both of you for the 640s.
Reply With Quote
  #266  
Old 06-11-2018, 12:17 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
Site Supporter
Site Supporter
 
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 3,707
Default

August problems. Deadline July 10 9AM.
Attached Images
File Type: pdf mscproblemset201808.pdf (111.8 KB, 31 views)
Reply With Quote
  #267  
Old 06-11-2018, 12:50 PM
mathmajor's Avatar
mathmajor mathmajor is offline
Member
SOA AAA
 
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: Nowhere in particular
Studying for Japanese
College: B.S. Applied Math
Favorite beer: La Croix Grapefruit
Posts: 12,100
Default

Interesting.
Spoiler:

A. 4H - bidding a michael's doesn't adequately describe your heart length. A 5D rebid over 4S will describe your hand perfectly.
B. 4H - is there another bid?
C. 3H - force a game, why not. Make p show his club stop (3NT) or support hearts, in which case shape makes it very plausible.
D. 4H - should be pretty clear you have secondary heart support and the responder reverse is game-forcing. Make p pick hearts or diamonds.
E. pass - I bet the higher scoring call is 4S but this is imps and none vul. 4S will go down AT LEAST 300-500, no gain. Will opps try for slam? Would 4S really interrupt that?
F. 4S - you make it in your hand and don't want to risk p passing. If you open 1S and opps bid, it'll just help them find a huge minor fit along with their spade shortness, rationalizing a 5m call vul. Technical question: can you open 2C with this under BWS? That would be my preference.
G. Dbl - two-suit take out and just four spades. Seems right.
H. H4
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by redprinceton
YOU ARE AN EXCEPTIONAL PERSON MATHMAJOR!
Reply With Quote
  #268  
Old 06-11-2018, 01:32 PM
oirg oirg is offline
Member
CAS
 
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 8,827
Default

August guesses:

A. 4H
B. 4H
C. 3D
D. 4H
E. pass
F. 1S
G. 3N
H. spade 6
Reply With Quote
  #269  
Old 06-11-2018, 10:26 PM
Veni Vidi Vici Veni Vidi Vici is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 211
Default

Initial August guesses:
A 3H. I think I need to walk the dog on this one if I am going to be allowed to declare at any level, which should probably be my goal.
B 5H. Conversely, on this one I want to put them to a high-level guess before they know about their spade fit. However, I may tone this down to 4H as 5H tends not to be a panel choice.
C Dbl. Not perfect, but more likely to get to a heart fit than a diamond raise and less likely to land us in hot water than 3H. If I hand more clubs I might pass, but I can't expect partner to protect here.
D 4H. No reason partner can't have six hearts and be void in diamonds.
E This is close among Pass, 4C, and 4S. I haven't decided yet. Note that partner is on lead against hearts, so he should interpret 4C as primarily trying to help him with that task.
F 2C. 9-1/2 tricks in hand and the boss suit, along with a good three-card heart holding. 1S is not going to be protected. Given that partner is a passed hand, I would probably open 4S at other colors to inhibit a sac. At these colors, letting the opponents in mostly rates to help us better evaluate our hands.
G 3D. Where I live. No way to catch up later if I don't. Doubling and then bidding diamonds shows a much weaker hand than this.
H. Spade 6. But I could live with anything except a heart. Leading away from A10xx into the strong notrumper has even less appeal than it might since that ace is my only entry.

Last edited by Veni Vidi Vici; 07-12-2018 at 08:02 AM..
Reply With Quote
  #270  
Old 06-19-2018, 05:59 PM
Sweet Tooth Sweet Tooth is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,500
Default

Spoiler:
August 2018
A) 4H- and 5D over 4S
B) 5H- 1 shot max pressure
C) DBL- then 4D over 3S
D) 4H- simpleton (4C cue??)
E) 4C- take my zero for the lead
F) 1S or 2C- NOT, NOT 4S
G) 3D- the simpleton bid
H) S6- well it IS the major
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:15 AM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2020, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
*PLEASE NOTE: Posts are not checked for accuracy, and do not
represent the views of the Actuarial Outpost or its sponsors.
Page generated in 0.27839 seconds with 10 queries