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Bridge Sub-Forums: Frequency and Severity

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  #391  
Old 11-09-2018, 10:41 PM
Been There Done That Been There Done That is offline
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Years ago, problems like D were referred to by the moderators as "poll questions". In this case, the question is: "Is there an upper limit on 3M?"

The way that I play, 3M promises 4, is 100% forcing, and denies a more descriptive bid. My first reaction was to bid 3S and that is what I would probably have done at the table, but I feared that in BWS that would deny 4 hearts.
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  #392  
Old 11-10-2018, 01:17 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sweet Tooth View Post
So after a decent run this year, this December crushing set, with draconian Kleinman as scorer no less, will see my annual score burn in flames. to thine own self be true:

I am expecting the worst
Good thing your bidding is far better than your forecasting. Congratulations, your 650 would be tied for 10-13 on the Honor Roll
Code:
               A          B        C        D        E        F        G        H        Total
EB                                                                                            
oirg           3N     100 5D   40  2S   100 3H   30  P    50  2C   100 H7   30  H10  30  480  
SW             3S     50  3N   60  2S   100 5N   60  Dbl  100 2C   100 S4   0   H10  30  500  
Klaymen        3S     50  3N   60  2N   50  3H   30  3C   40  2C   100 H10  80  S9   0   410  
ST             3N     100 3N   60  2N   50  5N   60  Dbl  100 2C   100 H10  80  CA   100 650  
BTDT           3N     100 3N   60  2S   100 3H   30  Dbl  100 2C   100 S4   0   H10  30  520  
NN             3N     100 3N   60  2S   100 4N   0   2N   60  2C   100 H2   100 S10  60  580  
Veni Vidi Vici                                                                                
kmbrunskill                                                                                   
mathmajor      3S     50  5D   40  2S   100 3H   30  P    50  2C   100 S4   0   S10  60  430  
4 Sigma                                                                                       
bill18         3S     50  3N   60  2S   100 3H   30  3C   40  2C   100 H10  80  S10  60  520  
Submitted      3N     100 3N   60  2S   100 3H   30  Dbl  100 2C   100 H10  80  S10  60  630  


                                                                                 
               3N     100 4H   100 2S   100 4D   100 Dbl  100 2C   100 H2   100 CA   100   
               3S     50  3N   60  2N   50  5N   60  2N   60           H10  80  S10  60       
                          5D   40           3H   30  P    50           H7   30  H10  30       
                                            4N   0   3C   40           S10  40  S9   0        
                                                                       S4   0
The consensusís 630 was also quite good, would have been tied for 17-23 on the Honor Roll. Top honor roll score was only 710, and there was only one 700. Low honor roll score was only 590. All those are well below average. IMO the partial credit awards were quite low.

Iíll start a new thread for the 2019 MSC and post the problems before Thanksgiving.
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  #393  
Old 11-12-2018, 06:06 AM
Veni Vidi Vici Veni Vidi Vici is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Been There Done That View Post
Years ago, problems like D were referred to by the moderators as "poll questions". In this case, the question is: "Is there an upper limit on 3M?"

The way that I play, 3M promises 4, is 100% forcing, and denies a more descriptive bid. My first reaction was to bid 3S and that is what I would probably have done at the table, but I feared that in BWS that would deny 4 hearts.
We'll have to see what the commentary is to be sure, but based on the panel vote for 4D, I'd say the question was not whether there is an upper point limit for 3M but whether we shouldn't just set trump so partner can start asking about keycards and then kings and maybe get us to grand.
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  #394  
Old 11-12-2018, 12:31 PM
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mathmajor mathmajor is offline
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Oof. Perhaps I won the C flight
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  #395  
Old 11-12-2018, 08:10 PM
Sweet Tooth Sweet Tooth is offline
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"Quote:
Originally Posted by Sweet Tooth View Post
So after a decent run this year, this December crushing set, with draconian Kleinman as scorer no less, will see my annual score burn in flames. to thine own self be true:

I am expecting the worst
Good thing your bidding is far better than your forecasting. Congratulations, your 650 would be tied for 10-13 on the Honor Roll"

Well, although I did relatively well, my predictions of a draconian set by Kleinman were spot on. The solver average of 499 was lowest I've ever seen, and the Honor Roll range of 710-590 was by far the lowest ever. Even the expert average was only 623.
Good luck to all for 2019.
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  #396  
Old 01-10-2019, 02:20 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Amazing. Must be influenced by the MSC rules (in effort for at least 2 years now) that they now longer have an adjustment if you enter only 11 of the 12 months. Several competitors must have missed at least one.

For the full year 2018 contest, our consensus was in 7th place, with 8260. Not bad, though far below the winner's score of 8650.

Actuary names I recognize on the 2018 Honor Roll are Leonard Helfgott, fourth at 8390; Mark Kinzer, 16th with 8080; and Chris Monsour, tied for 29th at 7850. There are likely some other actuaries whose names I didn't recognize. The yearly honor roll was the top 100 and ties, with a 4-way tie for 99-102.
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