Actuarial Outpost
 
Go Back   Actuarial Outpost > Cyberchat > Sports
FlashChat Actuarial Discussion Preliminary Exams CAS/SOA Exams Cyberchat Around the World Suggestions


Upload your resume securely at https://www.dwsimpson.com
to be contacted when our jobs meet your skills and objectives.


Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #201  
Old 01-03-2013, 04:52 PM
Jables's Avatar
Jables Jables is offline
Wonderboy
CAS
 
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: AO Retirement Home
Studying for kitchen utensilry degree
College: Crazy Go Nuts University
Favorite beer: Sam Adams, Dos Equis, Arrogant Hagbard, Clydesdale Juice
Posts: 33,766
Default

Now that the season is over, has anyone gone back to see how their projected standings/seedings compared to the actual ones? I took our winner JUICE's original picks and ran them through the file in post #5. This is prior to any of his rewards being applied (he got three extra wins from switching PHI to CIN in week 15, switching PHI to WAS in week 16, and switching KC to IND in week 16, and one extra loss from switching NYG to PHI in week 17), but again these standings are based on his original predictions...

NFC North
Green Bay 14-2
Detroit 13-3
Chicago 12-4
Minnesota 4-12

NFC East
Dallas 9-7 (wins division due to 4-2 record in division games, had Eagles and Giants each going 3-3)
Philadelphia 9-7
NY Giants 9-7
Washington 6-10

NFC South
Atlanta 12-4
New Orleans 11-5
Tampa Bay 9-7
Carolina 4-12

NFC West
San Francisco 11-5
Seattle 9-7
St. Louis 3-13
Arizona 2-14



AFC North
Baltimore 11-5
Pittsburgh 10-6
Cincinnati 10-6
Cleveland 0-16

AFC East
New England 14-2
Buffalo 11-5
NY Jets 10-6
Miami 2-14

AFC South
Houston 11-5
Indianapolis 4-12
Tennessee 4-12
Jacksonville 1-15

AFC West
Denver 14-2
Kansas City 7-9
San Diego 6-10
Oakland 4-12




NFC Playoff Seeds
1 Green Bay
2 Atlanta
3 San Francisco
4 Dallas
5 Detroit
6 Chicago

AFC Playoff Seeds
1 Denver (seeding based on predicting Broncos would beat Patriots in week 5)
2 New England
3 Houston (seeding based on predicting Texans would bear Ravens in week 7)
4 Baltimore
5 Buffalo
6 Pittsburgh (I believe the Steelers get the last wild card spot, since he predicted them to beat the Jets in week 2 and the Bengals in weeks 7 and 16, giving them a season sweep among the 3 teams tied at 10-6)

__________________
ಠ_ -- JB is watching you... ................"Don't let 'em talk bad about you!"
Due to my strong personal convictions, I wish to stress that this post in no way endorses a belief in the occult.
Reply With Quote
  #202  
Old 01-03-2013, 04:52 PM
Jables's Avatar
Jables Jables is offline
Wonderboy
CAS
 
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: AO Retirement Home
Studying for kitchen utensilry degree
College: Crazy Go Nuts University
Favorite beer: Sam Adams, Dos Equis, Arrogant Hagbard, Clydesdale Juice
Posts: 33,766
Default

FWIW, a few running trackers of records:

Yearly winners
2009: The Arbitrary 177-78-1 .6973 (+8 games better than the consensus)
2010: trondogss 158-98 .6172 (+2 games better than the consensus)
2011: sam10gle 167-89 .6523 (+8 games better than the consensus)
2012: JUICE 163-92-1 .6387 (+15 games better than the consensus)

"Consensus" performance
2009: 166-83-7 .6621
2010: 156-100 .6094
2011: 159-97 .6211
2012: 148-107-1 .5801

Aggregating the best weekly records from weeks 1-17
2009: 206-50 .8047
2010: 194-62 .7578
2011: 203-53 .7930
2012: 192-63-1 .7520
__________________
ಠ_ -- JB is watching you... ................"Don't let 'em talk bad about you!"
Due to my strong personal convictions, I wish to stress that this post in no way endorses a belief in the occult.
Reply With Quote
  #203  
Old 01-03-2013, 04:53 PM
Jables's Avatar
Jables Jables is offline
Wonderboy
CAS
 
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: AO Retirement Home
Studying for kitchen utensilry degree
College: Crazy Go Nuts University
Favorite beer: Sam Adams, Dos Equis, Arrogant Hagbard, Clydesdale Juice
Posts: 33,766
Default

And with that, another game is closed and in the record books... I'm hoping someone will carry this one on when the 2013 season comes around!
__________________
ಠ_ -- JB is watching you... ................"Don't let 'em talk bad about you!"
Due to my strong personal convictions, I wish to stress that this post in no way endorses a belief in the occult.
Reply With Quote
  #204  
Old 01-03-2013, 05:02 PM
The Arbitrary's Avatar
The Arbitrary The Arbitrary is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Studying for a field sobriety test
Favorite beer: Grizzly
Posts: 15,352
Default

Thanks Jables

And thanks for pointing out I still have the record for best single year winning percentage!

Last edited by The Arbitrary; 01-04-2013 at 10:34 AM..
Reply With Quote
  #205  
Old 01-03-2013, 05:31 PM
Kid Rock's Avatar
Kid Rock Kid Rock is offline
Member
Non-Actuary
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Favorite beer: Wicked Weed sours
Posts: 5,771
Default

I either have a spelling error or the file doesn't work. My rows add up by the overall record is 206-306. Maybe that was my problem.
Reply With Quote
  #206  
Old 01-03-2013, 06:33 PM
Funemployed Funemployed is offline
Member
CAS Non-Actuary
 
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Above it all
College: Ball State Alumni
Favorite beer: Root or Birch
Posts: 3,023
Default

Looks like I have a talent for finishing 2nd in this contest
Reply With Quote
  #207  
Old 01-03-2013, 06:39 PM
JUICE JUICE is offline
Member
SOA AAA
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Favorite beer: Bell's Two Hearted
Posts: 9,824
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Arbitrary View Post
Thanks Jables :toh:

And thanks for pointing out I still have the record for best single year winning percentage!
Ya but I've got far and away the best record compared to consensus.



DEAL WITH IT
Reply With Quote
  #208  
Old 01-04-2013, 10:36 AM
The Arbitrary's Avatar
The Arbitrary The Arbitrary is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Studying for a field sobriety test
Favorite beer: Grizzly
Posts: 15,352
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by JUICE View Post
Ya but I've got far and away the best record compared to consensus.



DEAL WITH IT
Good point! I was able to outpace superior competition! To all those who played in 2009, thanks for making it the best year ever!

For those who floundered in 2012, join me as we drink away our sorrows. Perhaps some gin and JUICE! (P.S. Congrats to JUICE on the win. Well picked!)
Reply With Quote
  #209  
Old 01-04-2013, 11:10 AM
Jables's Avatar
Jables Jables is offline
Wonderboy
CAS
 
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: AO Retirement Home
Studying for kitchen utensilry degree
College: Crazy Go Nuts University
Favorite beer: Sam Adams, Dos Equis, Arrogant Hagbard, Clydesdale Juice
Posts: 33,766
Default

__________________
ಠ_ -- JB is watching you... ................"Don't let 'em talk bad about you!"
Due to my strong personal convictions, I wish to stress that this post in no way endorses a belief in the occult.
Reply With Quote
  #210  
Old 01-07-2013, 06:07 AM
Roy Hobbs Roy Hobbs is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 910
Default

Thanks Jables for running this. Always fun to be middle of the pack all year and then go 22-10 to win the last 2 weeks!
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 08:36 AM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2020, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
*PLEASE NOTE: Posts are not checked for accuracy, and do not
represent the views of the Actuarial Outpost or its sponsors.
Page generated in 0.43126 seconds with 12 queries